SABIIA - Sistema Aberto e Integrado de Informação em Agricultura (Sabiia)

Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Hu, Dinghuan; Fang, Cheng.

In China, with the cost of improved technology rising, surplus labor shrinking, and demand for food quality and safety increasing, it will be just a matter of time before the country's hog production sector will be commercialized like that of developed countries. However, even if China's cost of production converges to international levels, as shown in this case study, China may continue to retain some competitive advantage because of the labor-intensive nature of the marketing services involved in hog processing and meat distribution. The supply of variety meats offers the most promising market opportunity for foreign suppliers in China. The market may open further if the tariff rate for variety meats is reduced from 20% and harmonized with the pork...

Accession of the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland to the European Union: Impacts on Agricultural Markets

Palavras-chave: Commercial; Cost structure; Imports; Pork value chain; Industrial Organization; Marketing.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18689

Fuller, Frank H.; Beghin, John C.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fang, Cheng; Kaus, Phillip J..

Using a world agricultural multimarket model, we analyze the consequences of enlargement of the European Union (EU) to include the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland for agricultural markets. We produce a market outlook through the year 2010 for two enlargement scenarios, which are based on different assumptions regarding the restrictions on grain and dairy production in the acceding countries. In both scenarios, accession of the three Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) leads to a permanent but moderate decrease in EU prices for virtually all commodities. For the three acceding CEECs, domestic prices increase dramatically. Their final consumption of agricultural products decreases in most instances, while production rises. Higher domestic...

AGRICULTURAL MARKETS LIBERALIZATION AND THE DOHA ROUND

Palavras-chave: CAP; Economic integration; EU enlargement; Agricultural trade; Czech Republic; Hungary; Poland; Marketing.

Ano: 2000

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18388

Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Beghin, John C.; de Cara, Stephane; Fang, Cheng; Isik, Murat; Matthey, Holger.

Using a partial equilibrium model of world agriculture, we investigate the multilateral removal of all border taxes and farm programs and their distortion of world agricultural markets. These distortions have significant terms-of-trade effects. World trade is also significantly impacted by both types of distortions. Trade expansion is substantial for most commodities, especially dairy, meats, and vegetable oils. Net agricultural and food exporters (Brazil, Australia, and Argentina) emerge with expanded exports; whereas net importing countries with limited distortions before liberalization are penalized by higher world markets prices and reduced imports. The US gains significant export shares in livestock products and imports more dairy products....

Analysis of the Berlin Accord Reforms of the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy

Palavras-chave: Doha; Agriculture; Trade liberalization; Domestic policy; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2003

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25875

Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Chaudhary, Sudhir; Kaus, Phillip J.; Fang, Cheng; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen.

This document briefly summarizes the impacts of the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) reforms on the European agricultural sector and on international agricultural trade. Objectives of the CAP reform (as stated in EU Commission documents) are: to ensure the environmental viability of European agriculture, and to protect the livelihood of European farmers.

ASSESSING THE COMPETITIVENESS OF INDIAN COTTON PRODUCTION: A POLICY ANALYSIS MATRIX APPROACH

Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.

Ano: 1999

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18282

Mohanty, Samarendu; Fang, Cheng; Chaudhary, Jagadanand.

This paper uses a modified policy analysis matrix (PAM) approach to assess the efficiency of cotton production in five major producing states in India. The results indicate that cotton is not efficiently produced in the second-largest cotton-producing state in the country. Without government interventions in this state, it is likely that acreage will move away from cotton to more profitable crops such as sugarcane and groundnut. In addition, we conclude that cotton is not the most efficiently produced crop in the other four states; however, there is at least one crop in each state that is less efficiently produced than cotton. These findings suggest that Indian policies directed at maintaining the availability of cheap cotton for the handloom and textile...

Assessing the Competitiveness of Indian Cotton Production: A Policy Analysis Matrix Approach

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18465

Mohanty, Samarendu; Fang, Cheng; Chaudhary, Jagadanand.

This paper uses a modified policy analysis matrix (PAM) approach to assess the efficiency of cotton production in five major producing states in India. The results indicate that cotton is not efficiently produced in the second largest cotton producing state in the country. Without government interventions, it is likely that acreage will move away from cotton to more profitable crops such as sugarcane and groundnut in this state. In addition, it is also concluded that cotton is not the most efficiently produced crop in the other four states; however, there is at least one crop in each state which is less efficiently produced than cotton. These findings suggest that Indian policies directed at maintaining the availability of cheap cotton for the handloom and...

CHINA'S ACCESSION TO THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION: IMPACT ON AGRICULTURAL MARKETS

Palavras-chave: Cotton; PAM; India; Efficiency; Agricultural and Food Policy.

Ano: 2003

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53142

Fuller, Frank H.; Beghin, John C.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fang, Cheng; de Cara, Stephane; Matthey, Holger.

We analyze the impact of China's accession to the WTO on agricultural markets using the FAPRI modeling framework. Our analysis includes major crops, livestock sectors, and exogenous changes in consumer income, expanded textile production, and policies. Chinese livestock, grain and oilseed crushing industries experience lower revenues, while cotton production prospers with accession, despite increased cotton imports. Most food prices decrease with accession. Chinese consumers benefit from these lower prices, with vegetable oil, dairy and meat consumption increasing significantly. The increase in world agricultural trade with China benefits Argentina (soy meal and oil); Brazil (soy oil and poultry); Canada (pork); the EU (pork); and the United states (pork,...

China's Accession to the WTO: What Is at Stake for Agricultural Markets?

Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2001

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20619

Fuller, Frank H.; Beghin, John C.; de Cara, Stephane; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fang, Cheng; Matthey, Holger.

We analyze the impact of China's accession to the World Trade Organization on major crop and livestock markets using the FAPRI modeling framework. We incorporate expected changes in consumer income, textile production, and trade policies as exogenous shocks to the baseline model. Following accession, revenues decline in China's livestock, grain, and oilseed industries, while cotton production prospers despite increased cotton imports. Chinese consumers benefit from lower food prices, with vegetable oil, dairy, and meat consumption increasing significantly. Argentina, Brazil, Canada, the European Union, and the United States are the greatest beneficiaries from expanded agricultural trade with China.

CHINA'S COTTON POLICY AND THE IMPACT OF CHINA'S WTO ACCESSION AND BT COTTON ADOPTION ON THE CHINESE AND U.S. COTTON SECTORS

Palavras-chave: Accession; Agricultural trade; China; Policy analysis; Simulation models; Trade liberalization; World Trade Organization; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2001

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18522

Fang, Cheng; Babcock, Bruce A..

In this paper we provide an analysis of China's cotton policy and develop a framework to quantify the impact of both China's World Trade Organization (WTO) accession and Bt (Bacillus thuringiensis) cotton adoption on Chinese and U.S. cotton sectors. We use a Chinese cotton sector model consisting of supply, demand, price linkages, and textiles output equations. A two-stage framework model provides gross cropping area and total area for cotton and major substitute crops from nine cotton-producing regions in China. Cotton demand, total fiber demand, and cotton share are estimated for each end user. The estimated parameters from the Chinese model are then used with the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) modeling system to simulate various...

China's Rural and Urban Household Survey Data: Collection, Availability, and Problems

Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Bt technology; China and cotton policy; U.S. cotton exports; World Trade Organization; WTO accession; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2003

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18556

Fang, Cheng; Wailes, Eric J.; Cramer, Gail L..

Does the U.S. Midwest Have a Cost Advantage Over China in Producing Corn, Soybeans, and Hogs?

Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics.

Ano: 1998

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18412

Fang, Cheng; Fabiosa, Jacinto F..

China's accession to the World Trade Organization, a significant event for U.S. agricultural trade, has been viewed as benefitting U.S. farmers, especially midwestern farmers. This research compares the productivity and cost of production (COP) of China and the United States in producing corn, soybeans, and hogs. The results show that the U.S. Midwest (defined in this study as the Heartland region as classified by the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Economic Research Service) has a substantial advantage in land and labor productivities in producing corn and soybeans, especially compared to China's South and West producing regions. However, China's Northeast region, a major corn- and soybean-producing area, has a very competitive COP over the U.S. Midwest....

ESTIMATING CROP-SPECIFIC PRODUCTION GROWTH AND SOURCES IN CHINA

Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Competitiveness; Corn; Cost of production; Exchange rate; Hogs; Land policy; Productivity; Soybeans; U.S. Midwest versus China; Agricultural Finance; Production Economics; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18688

Fang, Cheng; Fan, Shenggen.

This study uses aggregated provincial level data from 1979 to 2000 to estimate crop-specific production functions and identifies the sources of production growth for wheat, corn, soybean, rapeseeds, and cotton in China. The results show that fertilizer, pesticide, seeds, production specification, weather, and R&D are important determinants of crop yields. The land, fertilizer, and R&D are major contributors to production growth during the study period.

FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19669

Feed-Grain Consumption by Traditional Pork-Producing Households in China

Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kaus, Phillip J.; Fang, Cheng; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Suhler, Gregg; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R..

The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) prepares a preliminary agricultural outlook on world agricultural production, consumption, and trade every fall. This is followed by an outside review, re-evaluation of projections, and completion of the final baseline in January. The FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook presents these final projections for world agricultural markets. A companion volume, the FAPRI 2000 U.S. Agricultural Outlook, presents the U.S. component of the baseline. FAPRI projections assume average weather patterns worldwide, existing policy, and policy commitments under current trade agreements. FAPRI projections do not include conjectures on potential policy changes, such as those resulting from the likely eastward...

Tipo: Report

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.

Ano: 2000

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32045

Fang, Cheng; Fuller, Frank H..

Economic reforms in China's agricultural sector initiated in the late 1970s led to rapid structural change in China's pork sector. Swine production units have declined in number but increased in size. Using household survey data from seven provinces in China, feed-grain demand by pork producers is estimated for three different size categories: producers with annual pork output of less than 200 kg, between 200 kg and 500 kg, and greater than 500 kg. The results show that the households slaughtering one or two pigs each year are not market-oriented in their pork production. However, households producing more than 200 kg are quite price-responsive, especially households slaughtering more than five or six hogs each year. Wald tests for structural change...

Food Calorie Intake and Food Security under Grain Price Inflation: Evidence from Malawi

Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.

Ano: 1998

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18339

Pan, Suwen; Fang, Cheng; Sanogo, Issa; Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M..

A comprehensive analysis of food demand and nutrient consumption using recent, representative household survey data from Malawi is presented. Expenditure and price elasticities have been estimated for 20 food groups using a quadratic almost ideal demand system based on 4 income groups identified by the Goldfeld-Quandt tests. Although the current boom of maize price provides an opportunity to rethink development strategies that diversify the commodity sectors, developing countries will not necessarily benefit from this change absent significant improvements in production capacities and trade infrastructures. Malawi is likely to suffer from higher commodity prices in the short-run.